Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 32.08% ( | 28.89% ( | 39.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.25% ( | 61.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.45% ( | 81.55% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.67% ( | 35.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.91% ( | 72.09% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.25% ( | 30.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.98% ( | 67.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 6.94% ( 2-0 @ 5.88% ( 3-1 @ 2.41% ( 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 3-2 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 32.08% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 4.09% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.88% | 0-1 @ 12.81% 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 7.55% ( 1-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 2-3 @ 1.61% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.03% |