La Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano2 - 0Almeria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Villarreal 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, January 30 at 8pm in La Liga
Monday, January 30 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 3-1 Espanyol
Friday, January 27 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, January 27 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Almeria
Almeria are having an impressive season, but their away form has been so disappointing. Indeed, the promoted outfit are yet to win a single match on their travels, so it is difficult to back them to beat a strong Rayo outfit. It would not be a shock to see a draw here, but we are just backing Rayo to secure all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Almeria |
53.88% ( -0.23) | 24.54% ( 0.04) | 21.57% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 49.32% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
