Rayo Vallecano vs Almeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.