La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 5, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Spotify Camp Nou

Barcelona
1 - 0
Valencia

Raphinha (16')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Reaction

Barcelona midfielder Frenkie de Jong in action in July 2022

Barcelona handed potential Frenkie de Jong injury blow

Barcelona midfielder Frenkie de Jong was substituted against Valencia on Sunday afternoon due to "hamstring discomfort", according to the Catalan club's head coach Xavi.

Mar 6, 12:07

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 0-1 Barcelona
Thursday, March 2 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, February 25 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 74.14%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 9.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 3-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Valencia
74.14% ( 1.22)	16.09% ( -0.4)	9.77% ( -0.82)

Both teams to score 48.5% (

-1.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.67% (

-0.66)

38.32% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.39% (

-0.7)

60.61% (

0.7)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.14% (

0.11)

8.85% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.68% (

0.28)

30.31% (

-0.29)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.21% (

-2.05)

46.79% (

2.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.67% (

-1.6)

82.32% (

1.6)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 74.14%

Valencia 9.77%

Draw 16.09%

Barcelona	Draw	Valencia
2-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.51) 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.31) 4-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.2) 5-1 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) Other @ 4.07% Total : 74.14%	1-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.81% Total : 16.09%	0-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.53% Total : 9.77%