La Liga Gameweek 27
Valencia
Apr 3, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Rayo Vallecano
  • Justin Kluivert 82' goal
  • goal Santi Comesana 9'

Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 8.00pm
Atletico 3 - 0 Valencia
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Samuel Lino

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 3.15pm
Rayo Vallecano 2 - 2 Girona
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Isi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Valencia 43.99% ▼ (-1.13)
Draw 26.61% ▼ (-0.09)
Rayo Vallecano 29.4% ▲ (+1.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.25% ▲ (+0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.64% ▲ (+0.89)
Under 2.5 54.36% ▼ (-0.89)
Over 3.5 24.26% ▲ (+0.74)
Under 3.5 75.74% ▼ (-0.73)
Over 4.5 10.89% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 4.5 89.1% ▼ (-0.46)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 75.44% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 0.5 24.55% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 1.5 40.96% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 1.5 59.04% ▲ (+0.23)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 66.6% ▲ (+1.40)
Under 0.5 33.4% ▼ (-1.40)
Over 1.5 29.98% ▲ (+1.50)
Under 1.5 70.02% ▼ (-1.50)

Score analysis

Valencia 43.99%
Draw 26.6%
Rayo Vallecano 29.4%
Valencia
1-0 @ 11.51% ▼ (-0.47)
2-1 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.36)
3-1 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.19)
3-2 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 43.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.62% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.29)
2-2 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.6%
Rayo Vallecano
0-1 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.26)
0-2 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.19)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 29.4%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 5
Rayo Vallecano
Sep 10, 2022 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
Valencia
  • Isi 5' goal
  • Nico Gonzalez 52' goal
  • goal Mouctar Diakhaby 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 31
Rayo Vallecano
Apr 11, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Valencia
  • Unai Lopez 5' yellowcard
  • Sergi Guardiola 83' goal
  • Ivan Balliu 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Catena 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ilaix Moriba 8'
  • yellowcard Hugo Duro 42'
  • goal Carlos Soler 57'
  • yellowcard Maranhao 74'
  • yellowcard Thierry Correia 90'+9'
La Liga Gameweek 15
Valencia
Nov 27, 2021 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Rayo Vallecano
  • Carlos Soler 19' goal
  • Carlos Soler 27' yellowcard
  • Mouctar Diakhaby 45' yellowcard
  • Omar Alderete 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jose Gaya 55' yellowcard
  • Dimitri Foulquier 62' yellowcard
  • Daniel Wass 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Esteban Saveljich 18'
  • yellowcard Santi Comesana 54'
  • yellowcard Isi 55'
  • goal Isi 64'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Catena 73'
  • yellowcard Oscar Valentin 75'
La Liga Gameweek 31
Rayo Vallecano
Apr 6, 2019 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas (Madrid)
Valencia
  • Raul de Tomas 14' yellowcard
  • Raul De Tomas 32' goal
  • Alejandro Galvez 55' yellowcard
  • Mario Suarez 91' goal
  • yellowcard Ferran Torres 29'
  • yellowcard Facundo Roncaglia 76'
  • yellowcard Mouctar Diakhaby 84'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Valencia
Nov 24, 2018 3.15pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)
Rayo Vallecano
  • Mouctar Diakhaby 28' yellowcard
  • Santi Mina 35' goal
  • Santi Mina 61' goal
  • Carlos Soler 74' yellowcard
  • Kevin Gameiro 76' goal
  • yellowcard Luis Advincula 22'
  • yellowcard Santiago Comesana 41'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Galvez 51'
  • redcard Luis Advincula 87'
La Liga
Valencia
Jan 17, 2016 11.00am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Rayo Vallecano
  • Alvaro Negredo 55' goal
  • Paco Alcacer 87' yellowcard
  • Paco Alcacer 88' goal
  • goal Jozabed Sanchez 15'
  • yellowcard Diego Llorente 19'
  • goal Diego Llorente 69'
  • yellowcard Marin Ruz Quini 78'
  • yellowcard Lass Bangoura 81'

Form Data

Atletico 3 - 0 Valencia
Valencia 1 - 0 Osasuna
Barcelona 1 - 0 Valencia
Valencia 1 - 0 Real Sociedad
Getafe 1 - 0 Valencia
Valencia 1 - 2 Athletic Bilbao
Rayo Vallecano 2 - 2 Girona
Celta Vigo 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano 0 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Cadiz 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Sevilla
Getafe 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano