Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 43.99% ( | 26.61% ( | 29.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.64% ( | 54.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.26% ( | 75.74% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.44% ( | 24.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.96% ( | 59.04% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.6% ( | 33.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.98% ( | 70.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% ( 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 4-0 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 43.99% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 2-2 @ 4.86% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 2-3 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 29.4% |