La Liga Gameweek 24
Rayo Vallecano
Mar 5, 2023 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
Athletic Bilbao

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2023 3.15pm
Cadiz 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Isi

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2023 1.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 2 - 3 Girona
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Inaki Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Rayo Vallecano 38.53% ▲ (+0.32)
Draw 27.47% ▼ (-0.14)
Athletic Bilbao 34% ▼ (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.25% ▲ (+0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.63% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 2.5 56.37% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 3.5 22.61% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 3.5 77.39% ▼ (-0.40)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 71.59% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 0.5 28.41% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 1.5 35.83% ▲ (+0.53)
Under 1.5 64.16% ▼ (-0.53)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 68.8% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 0.5 31.2% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 32.45% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 67.54% ▼ (-0.15)

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 38.52%
Draw 27.47%
Athletic Bilbao 34%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 11.15% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 38.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.99% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.47%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 10.32% ▼ (-0.17)
1-2 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 34%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 6
Athletic Bilbao
Sep 17, 2022 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT San Mamés Barria
Rayo Vallecano
  • Inaki Williams 14' goal
  • Oihan Sancet 28' goal
  • Nico Williams 33' goal
  • goal Oscar Trejo 5'
  • goal Radamel Falcao 80'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Rayo Vallecano
Jan 23, 2022 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Athletic Bilbao
  • Unai Lopez 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Inaki Williams 17'
  • goal Nico Serrano 30'
  • yellowcard Oier Zarraga 60'
  • yellowcard Dani Garcia 69'
  • yellowcard Unai Simon 82'
  • yellowcard Inigo Lekue 86'
  • yellowcard Nico Williams 88'
La Liga Gameweek 6
Athletic Bilbao
Sep 21, 2021 9.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Rayo Vallecano
  • Unai Nunez 16' yellowcard
  • Pathe Ciss 33' goal
  • Iker Muniain 56' yellowcard
  • Inigo Martinez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Alvaro Garcia 5'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Catena 7'
  • yellowcard Sergi Guardiola 42'
  • yellowcard Nikola Maras 83'
  • goal Radamel Falcao 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 32
Athletic Bilbao
Apr 14, 2019 1.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
Rayo Vallecano
  • Inaki Williams 2' goal
  • Inaki Williams 50' goal
  • Raul Garcia 72' goal
  • Inaki Williams 90' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Moreno 45'
  • yellowcard Luis Advincula 49'
  • redcard Luis Advincula 52'
  • yellowcard Abdoulaye Ba 68'
  • goal Raul de Tomas 85'
La Liga Gameweek 3
Rayo Vallecano
Oct 24, 2018 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio del Rayo Vallecano (de Vallecas Teresa Rivero) (Madrid)
Athletic Bilbao
  • Jose Angel Pozo 23' goal
  • Giannelli Imbula 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raul Garcia 53'
  • goal Iker Muniain 66'
La Liga
Athletic Bilbao
Apr 10, 2016 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Rayo Vallecano
  • Raul Garcia 16' yellowcard
  • Inaki Williams 61' goal
  • yellowcard Nacho Martinez 2'
  • yellowcard Raul Baena 16'
  • yellowcard Ze Castro 52'

Form Data

Cadiz 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Sevilla
Getafe 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano 2 - 0 Almeria
Villarreal 0 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano 0 - 2 Real Sociedad
Osasuna 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao 2 - 3 Girona
Atletico 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Valencia 1 - 2 Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao 4 - 1 Cadiz
Celta Vigo 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao