MX23RW : Thursday, May 2 12:04:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Almeria
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Cadiz logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Granada logo
Las Palmas
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
La Liga header desktop

La Liga
Rayo Vallecano logo
La Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 5, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Athletic Bilbao logo

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 0
Athletic Bilbao


Mumin (21')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, February 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, March 1 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

 This has all the makings of a very interesting match, and cases can be made for both sides to pick up all three points. We are expecting a really close affair, though, ultimately settling on a 1-1 draw, which would not be the worst result in the world for either side at this stage of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAthletic Bilbao
38.53% (0.319 0.32) 27.47% (-0.133 -0.13) 34% (-0.19 -0.19)
Both teams to score 49.25% (0.372 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.63% (0.481 0.48)56.37% (-0.48399999999999 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.61% (0.387 0.39)77.39% (-0.39100000000001 -0.39)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59% (0.417 0.42)28.41% (-0.421 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (0.522 0.52)64.16% (-0.527 -0.53)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8% (0.119 0.12)31.2% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.45% (0.139 0.14)67.54% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 38.52%
    Athletic Bilbao 34%
    Draw 27.47%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.067 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.02% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.068 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.034 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 38.52%
1-1 @ 12.99% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.87% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 10.32% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 34%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao

Rayo Vallecano
42.9%
Draw
26.2%
Athletic Bilbao
31.0%
84
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Rayo Vallecano
Williams (14'), Sancet (28'), Williams (33')
Trejo (5'), Falcao (80')
Valentin (21')
Jan 23, 2022 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Lopez (89')
Serrano (30')
Williams (17'), Zarraga (60'), Garcia (69'), Simon (82'), Lekue (86'), Williams (88')
Sep 21, 2021 9pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-2
Rayo Vallecano
Ciss (33' og.)
Nunez (16'), Muniain (56'), Martinez (90+5')
Garcia (5'), Falcao (90+6')
Catena (7'), Guardiola (42'), Maras (83')
Apr 14, 2019 1pm
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Rayo Vallecano
Williams (2', 50'), Garcia (72')
Williams (90')
Moreno (45'), De Tomas (85')
Advincula (49'), Ba (68')
Advincula (52')
Oct 24, 2018 6pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Angel Pozo (23')
Imbula (59')
Muniain (66')
Garcia (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2Barcelona33227468392973
3GironaGirona33225669402971
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia33138123738-147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
13Sevilla33911134246-438
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514
> La Liga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!