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La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Rayo Vallecano logo

Cadiz
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Guardiola (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 2-0 Cadiz
Sunday, February 19 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
CadizDrawRayo Vallecano
32.44% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)27.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)39.7% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 47.74% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.88% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)58.12% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.22% (-0.029 -0.03)78.78% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)33.16% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.24% (-0.081 -0.08)69.76% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (0.024000000000001 0.02)28.58% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62% (0.030000000000001 0.03)64.38% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 32.44%
    Rayo Vallecano 39.7%
    Draw 27.86%
CadizDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 10.46%
2-1 @ 7.23% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.77% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 32.44%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.48% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 11.87% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.43% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.43% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 3.1% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 39.7%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Rayo Vallecano

Cadiz
25.4%
Draw
25.4%
Rayo Vallecano
49.2%
63
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 1pm
Rayo Vallecano
5-1
Cadiz
Isi (44' pen.), Garcia (45+1'), Lejeune (63', 89'), Camello (79')
Trejo (31')
Balliu (82' og.)
Mar 6, 2022 1pm
Cadiz
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Alcaraz (55'), Idrissi (63')
Akapo (10'), Alcaraz (37'), Idrissi (45+1'), Alejo (65'), Sobrino (82')

Isi (12'), Garcia (45+2'), Maras (62')
Sep 26, 2021 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
3-1
Cadiz
Garcia (9'), Falcao (44'), Isi (87')
Isi (50'), Balliu (59')
Haroyan (23')
Bastida (45+1'), Haroyan (48'), Cala (56'), Perea (90+3')
Jun 14, 2020 8.30pm
Cadiz
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Gimenez (85')
Mari (39'), Cala (72'), Alex (90+4')
Trejo (52')
Qasmi (39'), Advincula (40'), Villar (90+4')
Montiel (90+2')
Nov 10, 2019 8pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Cadiz
Trejo (74')
Advincula (57'), Saveljich (78'), Montiel (83'), Trejo (85'), Ulloa (93')
Alejo (38')
Gonzalez (55'), Mauro (63'), Lozano (83')
rhs 2.0


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