Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 32.44% ( | 27.87% ( | 39.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.74% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.88% ( | 58.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.22% ( | 78.78% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.84% ( | 33.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.24% ( | 69.76% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( | 28.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.62% ( | 64.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 2-0 @ 5.77% ( 3-1 @ 2.66% ( 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 3-2 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.44% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.48% ( 2-2 @ 4.53% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 11.87% ( 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0-2 @ 7.43% ( 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0-3 @ 3.1% ( 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.73% Total : 39.7% |