La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 19, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Sevilla

Lejeune (65')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Suso (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, February 12 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 PSV
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Sevilla
35.18% ( -0.21)	26.71% ( -0.07)	38.11% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 51.8% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.77% (

0.28)

53.22% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.21% (

0.24)

74.78% (

-0.24)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.1% (

0.01)

28.89% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.23% (

0.01)

64.76% (

-0.01)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.85% (

0.29)

27.15% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.45% (

0.38)

62.55% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 35.18%

Sevilla 38.11%

Draw 26.7%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.18%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7%	0-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.11%