Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.