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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
Philips Stadium
Vitesse

PSV
1 - 0
Vitesse

Til (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dijks (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 2-2 PSV
Sunday, January 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Vitesse

All competitions
Last Game: Vitesse 0-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, January 15 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Vitesse

 PSV need to string together an extensive run of victories in order to keep their title dreams alive, and given their home record this season, it is difficult to see them not claiming all three points this weekend. Vitesse have shared the spoils in their last three, proving that they can compete with the better sides in the league, but PSV should have too much firepower here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 75.43%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 10.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 3-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawVitesse
75.43% (-0.91800000000001 -0.92) 14.48% (0.503 0.5) 10.09% (0.412 0.41)
Both teams to score 56.72% (-0.497 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.15% (-1.326 -1.33)28.85% (1.323 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.21% (-1.645 -1.65)49.79% (1.642 1.64)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.61% (-0.453 -0.45)6.39% (0.45 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.04% (-1.256 -1.26)23.96% (1.254 1.25)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.59% (-0.238 -0.24)39.41% (0.235 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.89% (-0.223 -0.22)76.1% (0.22 0.22)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 75.43%
    Vitesse 10.09%
    Draw 14.48%
PSV EindhovenDrawVitesse
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.177 0.18)
3-0 @ 8.73% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-1 @ 8.13% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.92% (0.356 0.36)
4-0 @ 6.01% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-1 @ 5.59% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-0 @ 3.3% (-0.177 -0.18)
5-1 @ 3.08% (-0.185 -0.19)
4-2 @ 2.6% (-0.103 -0.1)
6-0 @ 1.52% (-0.123 -0.12)
5-2 @ 1.43% (-0.096 -0.1)
6-1 @ 1.41% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 75.43%
1-1 @ 6.45% (0.292 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.52% (0.191 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 14.48%
1-2 @ 3% (0.118 0.12)
0-1 @ 2.34% (0.164 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.01 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.09% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 0.93% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 10.09%

How you voted: PSV vs Vitesse

PSV Eindhoven
83.9%
Draw
6.5%
Vitesse
9.7%
31
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 7pm
Vitesse
0-5
PSV

Bazoer (38'), Oroz (67')
Zahavi (4'), Junior (24'), Gakpo (28'), Vinicius (62'), Doan (88')
Nov 20, 2021 3.30pm
PSV
2-0
Vitesse
Sangare (19'), Bruma (30')

Openda (25'), Wittek (45')
Feb 21, 2021 3.45pm
PSV
3-1
Vitesse
Malen (66'), Gotze (86', 88')
Gutierrez (38'), Sangare (75')
Broja (4')
Oct 25, 2020 1.30pm
Vitesse
2-1
PSV
Rasmussen (9'), Openda (54')
Tronstad (64'), Buitink (80'), Dasa (84')
Boscagli (50')
Feb 23, 2020 1.30pm
Vitesse
1-2
PSV
Matavz (50')
Obispo (36')
Lammers (59' pen.), Gakpo (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV15140156124442
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
3Ajax15103232161633
4Feyenoord1595135161932
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
8Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
9Fortuna SittardSittard155461721-419
10Heerenveen155371628-1218
11NECNijmegen155192119216
12Willem II154471618-216
13PEC Zwolle154471524-916
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles153571628-1214
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1513111537-226
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276
> Eredivisie Full Table


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