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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 74.05%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 10.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 3-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
74.05% ( 0.22) | 15.41% ( -0.1) | 10.53% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 54.45% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.64% ( 0.15) | 32.36% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.02% ( 0.17) | 53.98% ( -0.17) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.55% ( 0.08) | 7.44% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.22% ( 0.2) | 26.78% ( -0.2) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.83% ( -0.1) | 41.17% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.3% ( -0.09) | 77.7% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.52% Total : 74.05% | 1-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.41% | 1-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.34% Total : 10.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
3 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
4 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |