Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 74.05%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 10.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 3-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.