Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 57.42%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.75%) and 0-1 (7.31%). The likeliest Emmen win was 2-1 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.