Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 37%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.