Osauna logo
Copa del Rey | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Athletic Bilbao logo

Osasuna
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Ezzalzouli (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Osasuna and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Sevilla 2-3 Osasuna
Sunday, February 26 at 8pm in La Liga

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-3 Girona
Sunday, February 26 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawAthletic Bilbao
35.04% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)26.4% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)38.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.77% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02% (0.012 0.01)51.98% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28% (0.010999999999999 0.01)73.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88% (0.0039999999999978 0)64.11% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68% (0.010000000000005 0.01)26.32% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.54% (0.012 0.01)61.45% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 35.04%
    Athletic Bilbao 38.56%
    Draw 26.39%
OsasunaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.41% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 7.91%
2-0 @ 5.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.04%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 9.97% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 8.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.73% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.24%
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 38.56%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao

Osasuna
54.2%
Draw
21.2%
Athletic Bilbao
24.6%
118
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2023 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
Osasuna

Budimir (65')
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Osasuna
Berenguer (33'), Villalibre (79')
Jan 3, 2022 8pm
Osasuna
1-3
Athletic Bilbao
Kike (10')
Angel (66'), Arrasate (67'), Torro (76'), Herrera (78'), Avila (90+2')
Avila (90+4')
Sancet (16', 25', 68')
Alvarez (66'), Martinez (90+4')
May 8, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Osasuna
Morcillo (1'), Sancet (62')
Vencedor (50'), Marcelino (71')
Brasanac (12'), Budimir (89')
Torro (26'), Brasanac (90+2')
Oct 24, 2020 5.30pm
Osasuna
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Garcia (81' pen.)
Garcia (16'), Arrasate Elustondo (45'), Sanjurjo (54'), Vidal (63')
Arrasate Elustondo (78')

Alvarez (24'), Garcia (26')
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