Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Osasuna |
57.85% ( -0.14) | 23.64% ( 0.05) | 18.5% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 47.35% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.71% ( -0.08) | 52.29% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.01% ( -0.07) | 73.99% ( 0.06) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.15% ( -0.08) | 17.85% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.39% ( -0.13) | 48.61% ( 0.13) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.64% ( 0.06) | 42.36% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.25% ( 0.05) | 78.75% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 57.85% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.64% | 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 18.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |