Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Osasuna |
| 57.85% ( | 23.64% ( | 18.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.71% ( | 52.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.01% ( | 73.99% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( | 17.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.39% ( | 48.61% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.64% ( | 42.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.25% ( | 78.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 13.03% ( 2-0 @ 11.22% ( 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 3-0 @ 6.45% ( 3-1 @ 5.54% ( 4-0 @ 2.78% ( 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 5-0 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 57.85% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 2-2 @ 4.14% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.64% | 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 1-2 @ 4.81% ( 0-2 @ 2.79% ( 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 2-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 1.85% Total : 18.5% |