La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Sevilla2 - 3Osasuna
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Sevilla
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League
We said: Sevilla 1-1 Osasuna
Osasuna will certainly be the fresher of the two teams heading into this match, but Sevilla have been much-improved in the league in recent weeks, winning their last four top-flight fixtures at home. Osasuna have been the draw specialists away from home this term, though, and we are backing a low-scoring draw here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Osasuna |
57.85% ( -0.14) | 23.64% ( 0.05) | 18.5% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.35% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
