Europa League

Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Feb 23, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Philips Stadium

PSV
2 - 0
Sevilla

(Sevilla win 3-2 on aggregate)

de Jong (77'), Silva (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between PSV Eindhoven and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Utrecht 2-2 PSV
Sunday, February 19 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Sevilla
Sunday, February 19 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Sevilla
61.74% ( 0.18)	20.19% ( -0.04)	18.07% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 57.76% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.94% (

-0.04)

38.06% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.67% (

-0.04)

60.32% (

0.04)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.13% (

0.04)

11.87% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.83% (

0.08)

37.17% (

-0.08)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.55% (

-0.17)

34.45% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.83% (

-0.18)

71.16% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 61.74%

Sevilla 18.07%

Draw 20.19%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Sevilla
2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.12% Total : 61.74%	1-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.19%	1-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 18.07%