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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
25.33% ( -0.28) | 22.99% ( 0.09) | 51.67% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 58.74% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.27% ( -0.65) | 41.73% ( 0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.87% ( -0.66) | 64.13% ( 0.66) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.13% ( -0.56) | 29.87% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.04% ( -0.69) | 65.96% ( 0.68) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.77% ( -0.17) | 16.23% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.26% ( -0.31) | 45.74% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.13% Total : 25.33% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.43% Total : 51.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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