Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.