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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 57.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Groningen |
57.77% ( -0.17) | 22.09% ( 0.07) | 20.13% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 54.88% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.37% ( -0.18) | 43.63% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.98% ( -0.18) | 66.02% ( 0.18) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.16% ( -0.12) | 14.84% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.85% ( -0.22) | 43.14% ( 0.22) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.44% ( -0) | 35.56% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.67% ( -0) | 72.33% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Groningen |
1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 57.77% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.09% | 0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 20.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |