Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 57.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.