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Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 12, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
GelreDome, Arnhem
FC Utrecht

Vitesse
2 - 0
Utrecht

Manhoef (63'), Wittek (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitesse

All competitions
Last Game: Emmen 2-2 Vitesse
Saturday, February 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie

FC Utrecht

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-2 Utrecht
Tuesday, February 7 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
VitesseDrawFC Utrecht
43.41% (0.209 0.21)24.62% (0.165 0.16)31.97% (-0.371 -0.37)
Both teams to score 57.96% (-0.728 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.09% (-0.883 -0.88)44.91% (0.885 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.73% (-0.855 -0.85)67.26% (0.857 0.86)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (-0.274 -0.27)20.78% (0.278 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (-0.437 -0.44)53.42% (0.439 0.44)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16% (-0.66 -0.66)26.84% (0.663 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.85% (-0.877 -0.88)62.14% (0.88 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 43.41%
    FC Utrecht 31.97%
    Draw 24.61%
VitesseDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.023 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.76% (0.258 0.26)
2-0 @ 6.89% (0.146 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.61% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.41%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.21 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.61%
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.34% (0.142 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 31.97%

How you voted: Vitesse vs Utrecht

Vitesse
20.0%
Draw
36.0%
FC Utrecht
44.0%
25
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 11.15am
Utrecht
1-0
Vitesse
Dost (84')

Wittek (79')
May 22, 2022 5pm
Vitesse
3-0
Utrecht
Manhoef (39'), Tronstad (52'), Frederiksen (93')
Domgjoni (44'), Hajek (112'), Houwen (117'), Frederiksen (120+1')
Frederiksen (120+4')

van der Maarel (105+1')
May 19, 2022 8pm
Utrecht
3-1
Vitesse
Janssen (3'), Van de Streek (21'), Gustafson (81' pen.)
van der Kust (51'), van de Streek (53')
Vroegh (85')
Buitink (51'), Tronstad (60'), Doekhi (74'), Openda (90+2')
Feb 20, 2022 3.45pm
Utrecht
1-1
Vitesse
Sylla (14')
van de Streek (42'), Sylla (62'), Maher (72')
Doekhi (90+1')
Tronstad (59'), Wittek (64'), Letsch (87')
Grbic (65')
Nov 7, 2021 3.45pm
Vitesse
2-1
Utrecht
Frederiksen (7'), Bazoer (45+1')
Zagre (77')
Warmerdam (64'), Maher (90+1'), Mallahi (90+8')