Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 55.44%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.