AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 22, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
FC Utrecht

FC Twente
2 - 0
Utrecht

Cerny (45+1'), Misidjan (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions
Last Game: Ajax 0-0 FC Twente
Saturday, January 14 at 8pm in Eredivisie

FC Utrecht

All competitions
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 Utrecht
Sunday, January 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 55.44%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawFC Utrecht
55.44% (0.57400000000001 0.57)21.94% (0.155 0.16)22.62% (-0.724 -0.72)
Both teams to score 59.14% (-1.534 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.28% (-1.583 -1.58)39.72% (1.587 1.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.92% (-1.667 -1.67)62.08% (1.671 1.67)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.74% (-0.355 -0.36)14.26% (0.359 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.96% (-0.698 -0.7)42.04% (0.703 0.7)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (-1.492 -1.49)31.02% (1.497 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67% (-1.784 -1.78)67.33% (1.79 1.79)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 55.44%
    FC Utrecht 22.62%
    Draw 21.94%
FC TwenteDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.074 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.62% (0.517 0.52)
2-0 @ 8.39% (0.401 0.4)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.45% (0.193 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.178 -0.18)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.65% (0.06 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.112 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 55.44%
1-1 @ 10.08% (0.199 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.319 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.94%
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 22.62%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Utrecht

FC Twente
79.4%
Draw
5.9%
FC Utrecht
14.7%
34
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Utrecht
1-1
FC Twente
Mahi (90+4')
van der Maarel (77'), Douvikas (82'), Maduro (90+7')
Van Wolfswinkel (17')
Oosterwolde (42'), Zerrouki (90+6')
Sadilek (51')
Sep 11, 2021 3.30pm
FC Twente
1-0
Utrecht
Propper (90+1')
Hilgers (12'), Sadilek (81'), Ugalde (89'), Limnios (89')

Janssen (51'), Warmerdam (74'), Sylla (82'), Maher (89')
Apr 25, 2021 3.45pm
FC Twente
1-2
Utrecht
Danilo (28')
Drommel (59'), Pierie (61'), Oosterwolde (61')
Van de Streek (49'), Kerk (55')
Elia (21'), Janssen (62'), van der Maarel (80')
Oct 24, 2020 5.45pm
Utrecht
2-1
FC Twente
Ramselaar (43'), Van de Streek (47')
van der Maarel (27')
Danilo (1')
Oosterwolde (18'), Ebuehi (32'), Bosch (55'), Pleguezuelo (57')
Feb 23, 2020 11.15am
Utrecht
2-1
FC Twente
Kerk (83'), Arweiler (86')
Klaiber (23'), van der Maarel (79')
Vuckic (70')
Selahi (31'), Verdonk (90')
rhs 2.0


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