Eredivisie | Gameweek 18

Jan 25, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
1 - 0
Excelsior

Douvikas (6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Utrecht
Sunday, January 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 2-0 Volendam
Friday, January 20 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	SBV Excelsior
54.87% ( -0.72)	23.65% ( 0.36)	21.48% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 51.86% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.36% (

-1.11)

48.63% (

1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.25% (

-1.02)

70.75% (

1.01)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.4% (

-0.66)

17.6% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.83% (

-1.16)

48.17% (

1.16)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.94% (

-0.27)

37.06% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.15% (

-0.27)

73.85% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 54.87%

SBV Excelsior 21.48%

Draw 23.65%

FC Utrecht	Draw	SBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.6% Total : 54.87%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.65%	0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.69% Total : 21.48%