Eredivisie | Gameweek 16

Jan 14, 2023 at 8pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
1 - 0
Excelsior

Kitolano (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: PSV 0-0 Sparta
Saturday, January 7 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 1-0 Groningen
Sunday, January 8 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sparta Rotterdam.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	SBV Excelsior
48.41% ( 0.02)	24.7% ( -0)	26.89% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.48% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.96% (

-0)

48.04% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.79% (

-0)

70.21% (

0.01)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.11% (

0.01)

19.89% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.98% (

0.01)

52.02% (

-0.01)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.01% (

-0.01)

32% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.54% (

-0.02)

68.46% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 48.4%

SBV Excelsior 26.89%

Draw 24.7%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	SBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.88% Total : 48.4%	1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.7%	0-1 @ 7.25% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 26.89%