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Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Jan 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Excelsior

Sparta
1 - 0
Excelsior

Kitolano (90+1')
van Mullem (23')
FT(HT: 0-0)

van Duinen (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 0-0 Sparta
Saturday, January 7 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 1-0 Groningen
Sunday, January 8 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 SBV Excelsior

SBV Excelsior have struggled on their travels, while Sparta Rotterdam have managed to win five of their eight home games this season. We think the hosts will edge this one, and the Kralingers' troubles on the road will continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sparta Rotterdam.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawSBV Excelsior
48.41% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 24.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 26.89% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)48.04% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.11% (0.010000000000005 0.01)19.89% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.98% (0.010999999999996 0.01)52.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.01% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)32% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)68.46% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 48.4%
    SBV Excelsior 26.89%
    Draw 24.7%
Sparta RotterdamDrawSBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.3% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 48.4%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 26.89%

How you voted: Sparta vs Excelsior

Sparta Rotterdam
86.7%
Draw
0.0%
SBV Excelsior
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2018 11.30am
Sparta
2-3
Excelsior
Massop (3' og.), Brogno (42' pen.)
Chabot (18'), Brogno (32'), Fischer (85'), Floranus (88')
Messaoud (5'), Van Duinen (44'), Hadouir (86')
Karami (30'), van Duinen (44'), de Wijs (66')
Oct 21, 2017 6.45pm
Excelsior
1-1
Sparta
Massop (54')
Koolwijk (60'), Mattheij (69'), Vermeulen (75'), de Wijs (85')
Goodwin (86')
Dougall (34'), Floranus (71')
Apr 7, 2017 7pm
Sparta
2-3
Excelsior
Brogno (10'), Pusic (87')
Hasselbaink (24', 48'), Van Duinen (44')
Fortes (50'), Hadouir (89')
Nov 19, 2016 7.45pm
Excelsior
3-2
Sparta
Elbers (26'), Ribeiro (30'), Hasselbaink (65')
Elbers (60')
Brogno (23'), Dumfries (73')
Verhaar (65'), Dumfries (83'), Breuer (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV15140156124442
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
3Ajax15103232161633
4Feyenoord1595135161932
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
8Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
9Fortuna SittardSittard155461721-419
10Heerenveen155371628-1218
11NECNijmegen155192119216
12Willem II154471618-216
13PEC Zwolle154471524-916
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles153571628-1214
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1513111537-226
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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