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Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Jan 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Excelsior

Sparta
1 - 0
Excelsior

Kitolano (90+1')
van Mullem (23')
FT(HT: 0-0)

van Duinen (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 0-0 Sparta
Saturday, January 7 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 1-0 Groningen
Sunday, January 8 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 SBV Excelsior

SBV Excelsior have struggled on their travels, while Sparta Rotterdam have managed to win five of their eight home games this season. We think the hosts will edge this one, and the Kralingers' troubles on the road will continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sparta Rotterdam.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawSBV Excelsior
48.41% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 24.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 26.89% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)48.04% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.11% (0.010000000000005 0.01)19.89% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.98% (0.010999999999996 0.01)52.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.01% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)32% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)68.46% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 48.4%
    SBV Excelsior 26.89%
    Draw 24.7%
Sparta RotterdamDrawSBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.3% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 48.4%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 26.89%

How you voted: Sparta vs Excelsior

Sparta Rotterdam
86.7%
Draw
0.0%
SBV Excelsior
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2018 11.30am
Sparta
2-3
Excelsior
Massop (3' og.), Brogno (42' pen.)
Chabot (18'), Brogno (32'), Fischer (85'), Floranus (88')
Messaoud (5'), Van Duinen (44'), Hadouir (86')
Karami (30'), van Duinen (44'), de Wijs (66')
Oct 21, 2017 6.45pm
Excelsior
1-1
Sparta
Massop (54')
Koolwijk (60'), Mattheij (69'), Vermeulen (75'), de Wijs (85')
Goodwin (86')
Dougall (34'), Floranus (71')
Apr 7, 2017 7pm
Sparta
2-3
Excelsior
Brogno (10'), Pusic (87')
Hasselbaink (24', 48'), Van Duinen (44')
Fortes (50'), Hadouir (89')
Nov 19, 2016 7.45pm
Excelsior
3-2
Sparta
Elbers (26'), Ribeiro (30'), Hasselbaink (65')
Elbers (60')
Brogno (23'), Dumfries (73')
Verhaar (65'), Dumfries (83'), Breuer (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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