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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.84%) and 1-0 (5.71%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Volendam |
47.51% ( -0.52) | 21.68% ( 0.03) | 30.81% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 68.18% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.74% ( 0.11) | 31.25% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.31% ( 0.13) | 52.69% ( -0.14) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.17% ( -0.13) | 13.83% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.81% ( -0.25) | 41.18% ( 0.25) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.12% ( 0.33) | 20.87% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.42% ( 0.51) | 53.58% ( -0.51) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.57% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.85% Total : 47.51% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.68% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
4 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
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