Eredivisie | Gameweek 17

Jan 20, 2023 at 7pm UK

Excelsior
2 - 0
Volendam

Mirani (18' og.), Azarkan (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and FC Volendam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 1-0 Excelsior
Saturday, January 14 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

FC Volendam

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Volendam 2-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, January 14 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.84%) and 1-0 (5.71%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	FC Volendam
47.51% ( -0.52)	21.68% ( 0.03)	30.81% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 68.18% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.74% (

0.11)

31.25% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.31% (

0.13)

52.69% (

-0.14)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.17% (

-0.13)

13.83% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.81% (

-0.25)

41.18% (

0.25)

FC Volendam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.12% (

0.33)

20.87% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.42% (

0.51)

53.58% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 47.51%

FC Volendam 30.81%

Draw 21.68%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	FC Volendam
2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.57% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.85% Total : 47.51%	1-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.68%	1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.81%