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Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 20, 2023 at 7pm UK
 
FC Volendam

Excelsior
2 - 0
Volendam

Mirani (18' og.), Azarkan (80')
El Yaakoubi (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Plat (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and FC Volendam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 1-0 Excelsior
Saturday, January 14 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 2-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, January 14 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-2 FC Volendam

A closely-fought contest between two sides hoping to climb away from the relegation zone is expected on Friday, and goals could be on the cards considering the defensive frailties that the two teams have shown so far this term. However, the momentum is with Volendam and we feel that they will do enough to secure a third successive Eredivisie victory to boost their hopes of survival. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.84%) and 1-0 (5.71%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFC Volendam
47.51% (-0.522 -0.52) 21.68% (0.032 0.03) 30.81% (0.486 0.49)
Both teams to score 68.18% (0.181 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.74% (0.11499999999999 0.11)31.25% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.31% (0.135 0.13)52.69% (-0.14 -0.14)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.17% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)13.83% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.81% (-0.254 -0.25)41.18% (0.25 0.25)
FC Volendam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.12% (0.327 0.33)20.87% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.42% (0.511 0.51)53.58% (-0.514 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 47.51%
    FC Volendam 30.81%
    Draw 21.68%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFC Volendam
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.71% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.65% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 4.57% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.89% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-3 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 47.51%
1-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.93% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.89% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.39% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.68%
1-2 @ 7.01% (0.063 0.06)
0-1 @ 4.52% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.62% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.54% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.42% (0.034 0.03)
3-4 @ 0.94% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.81%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Volendam

SBV Excelsior
52.0%
Draw
16.0%
FC Volendam
32.0%
50
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2022 7pm
Volendam
2-5
Excelsior
Muhren (34' pen.), Deul (54')
Eerdhuijzen (36')
Goudmijn (2'), Niemeijer (15'), Dallinga (18'), Azarkan (29'), Chacon (90+4')
Wieffer (22'), El Yaakoubi (33'), Chacon (62')
Aug 20, 2021 7pm
Feb 5, 2021 8pm
Volendam
0-2
Excelsior
Niemeijer (82'), Wieffer (90+6')
Niemeijer (27'), Baas (31')
Dec 7, 2020 8pm
Excelsior
2-3
Volendam
Bruins (17'), Horemans (32')
Deul (14', 88'), Kaars (39')
Ben Sallam (40'), Vlak (66')
Apr 13, 2020 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Feyenoord16105140182235
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
4Ajax15103232161633
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
8NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
9Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen155192119216
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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