Eredivisie | Gameweek 20

Feb 4, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
1 - 0
Heerenveen

Douvikas (69' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: AZ 5-5 Utrecht
Saturday, January 28 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 1-3 Vitesse
Saturday, January 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	Heerenveen
49.99% ( 0.12)	24.25% ( -0.01)	25.76% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 54.94% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.04% (

-0.05)

46.96% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.79% (

-0.04)

69.21% (

0.04)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.17% (

0.03)

18.83% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.74% (

0.05)

50.26% (

-0.05)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.68% (

-0.11)

32.32% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.18% (

-0.12)

68.82% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 49.99%

Heerenveen 25.76%

Draw 24.25%

FC Utrecht	Draw	Heerenveen
1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.23% Total : 49.99%	1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.25%	0-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 25.76%