Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.