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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 37.16% ( | 23.76% ( | 39.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.29% ( | 39.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.94% ( | 62.06% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.51% ( | 21.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.46% ( | 54.53% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.43% ( | 20.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.91% ( | 53.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 1-0 @ 6.8% ( 2-0 @ 5.22% ( 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 4-0 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.16% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 3-3 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 1-3 @ 4.48% ( 2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0-3 @ 2.91% ( 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0-4 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 39.07% |