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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heerenveen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Heerenveen.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Cambuur |
| 45.25% ( | 24.97% ( | 29.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.55% ( | 47.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.33% ( | 69.66% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.99% ( | 21.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.21% ( | 53.79% ( |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% ( | 29.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.41% ( | 65.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Cambuur |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 2-0 @ 7.56% ( 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 3-0 @ 3.93% ( 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 4-2 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 45.25% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0-3 @ 1.87% ( Other @ 3.32% Total : 29.78% |