Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Jan 14, 2023 5.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Dani de Wit 33'
  • goal Tijjani Reijnders 46'

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Jan 7, 2023 3.30pm
RKC Waalwijk 0 - 0 Heerenveen
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Sydney van Hooijdonk

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Jan 7, 2023 5.45pm
AZ 1 - 1 Vitesse
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Vangelis Pavlidis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result

Heerenveen 34.47% (-1.05)
Draw 25.94% (-0.08)
AZ Alkmaar 39.59% (+1.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.21% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.9% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 50.1% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 27.93% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 72.07% (-0.16)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 72.19% (-0.55)
Under 0.5 27.81% (+0.55)
Over 1.5 36.6% (-0.71)
Under 1.5 63.4% (+0.71)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 75.1% (+0.69)
Under 0.5 24.9% (-0.68)
Over 1.5 40.48% (+0.94)
Under 1.5 59.52% (-0.93)

Score analysis

Heerenveen 34.47%
Draw 25.94%
AZ Alkmaar 39.59%
Heerenveen
1-0 @ 8.86% (-0.21)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.15)
2-0 @ 5.67% (-0.22)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 34.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.93% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.48% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.94%
AZ Alkmaar
0-1 @ 9.63% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 8.57% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 6.69% (+0.22)
1-3 @ 3.97% (+0.15)
0-3 @ 3.1% (+0.16)
2-3 @ 2.54% (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.38% (+0.08)
0-4 @ 1.08% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 39.59%

Head to Head

Eredivisie
May 22, 2022 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Dani de Wit 5' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 24' yellowcard
  • Kerkez Milos 41' yellowcard
  • Bruno Martins Indi 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Aboukhlal 88' goal
  • Zakaria Aboukhlal 89' yellowcard
Eredivisie
May 19, 2022 5.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Sydney van Hooijdonk 4' yellowcard
  • Milan van Ewijk 20' yellowcard
  • Sydney van Hooijdonk 58' goal
  • Thom Haye 68' yellowcard
  • Amin Sarr 90' goal
  • Tibor Halilovic 90'+4' goal
  • goal Hakon Evjen 59'
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 65'
  • yellowcard Jesper Karlsson 79'
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Apr 23, 2022 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jordy Clasie 13' yellowcard
  • Jesper Karlsson 44' goal
  • Tijjani Reijnders 87' goal
  • goal Amin Sarr 7'
  • yellowcard Timo Zaal 84'
  • yellowcard Erwin Mulder 85'
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2021 3.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Henk Veerman 11' goal
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 14'
  • yellowcard Timo Letschert 38'
  • goal Aslak Fonn Witry 50'
  • goal Dani de Wit 88'
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Feb 14, 2021 11.15am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Calvin Stengs 20' goal
  • Teun Koopmeiners 47' goal
  • Pantelis Hatzidiakos 60' yellowcard
  • Albert Gudmundsson 81' goal
  • yellowcard Jan Paul van Hecke 46'
  • goal Lasse Schone 54'
  • yellowcard Rodney Kongolo 87'
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Nov 8, 2020 3.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 28' yellowcard
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 29'
  • goal Lucas Woudenberg 41' (OG)
  • goal Jesper Karlsson 47'