Eredivisie | Gameweek 16

Jan 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
0 - 2
AZ

FT(HT: 0-1)

de Wit (33'), Reijnders (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, January 7 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 1-1 Vitesse
Saturday, January 7 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
34.47% ( -1.04)	25.94% ( -0.07)	39.59% ( 1.12)

Both teams to score 54.21% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.9% (

0.18)

50.1% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.93% (

0.16)

72.07% (

-0.15)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.19% (

-0.54)

27.81% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.6% (

-0.7)

63.4% (

0.71)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.1% (

0.68)

24.9% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.48% (

0.94)

59.52% (

-0.93)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 34.47%

AZ Alkmaar 39.59%

Draw 25.94%

Heerenveen	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.47%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94%	0-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.59%