AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
FC Utrecht

AZ
5 - 5
Utrecht

Dekker (20'), Pavlidis (31', 34', 78'), de Wit (70')
FT(HT: 3-3)
Douvikas (12', 16', 65'), Viergever (41'), van de Streek (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-4 AZ
Wednesday, January 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

FC Utrecht

All competitions
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Excelsior
Wednesday, January 25 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Utrecht
59.12% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)20.66% (0.0019999999999989 0)20.21% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 60.04% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.11% (0.00099999999999767 0)36.89% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.93% (0.0020000000000024 0)59.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.76% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)12.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.06% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)37.94%
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.41% (0.0019999999999953 0)31.59% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)67.99% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 59.12%
    FC Utrecht 20.21%
    Draw 20.66%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.97%
3-2 @ 3.97%
4-1 @ 3.62%
4-0 @ 3.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.08%
5-1 @ 1.52%
5-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 59.12%
1-1 @ 9.36%
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.86%
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.66%
1-2 @ 5.39%
0-1 @ 4.45%
0-2 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 20.21%

How you voted: AZ vs Utrecht

AZ Alkmaar
85.4%
Draw
7.3%
FC Utrecht
7.3%
41
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 1.30pm
Utrecht
1-2
AZ
Sylla (90+2')
Brouwers (34')
Van Brederode (31'), Sugawara (68')
May 11, 2022 7pm
Utrecht
2-2
AZ
Van de Streek (37'), Douvikas (90+4')
van Overeem (57')
Pavlidis (12', 15')
de Wit (69')
Oct 17, 2021 11.15am
AZ
5-1
Utrecht
Pavlidis (6'), Karlsson (12'), De Wit (40', 56'), Gudmundsson (86' pen.)
Maduro (90')
Jan 27, 2021 5.45pm
AZ
0-1
Utrecht

Wijndal (70')
Van de Streek (69')
Ramselaar (51'), Janssen (81')
Dec 27, 2020 1.30pm
Utrecht
2-2
AZ
Elia (30'), Dalmau (90+3')
Hoogma (16'), van Overeem (45+4'), Gustafson (63')
Koopmeiners (64' pen.), Stengs (83')