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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
FC Utrecht

AZ
5 - 5
Utrecht

Dekker (20'), Pavlidis (31', 34', 78'), de Wit (70')
FT(HT: 3-3)
Douvikas (12', 16', 65'), Viergever (41'), van de Streek (80')
Viergever (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-4 AZ
Wednesday, January 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Excelsior
Wednesday, January 25 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 FC Utrecht

AZ Alkmaar are firing on all cylinders at the moment, and it is hard to envisage any other result rather than a home victory. That said, we expect FC Utrecht to put up a decent fight, giving rise to an absorbing affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Utrecht
59.12% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 20.66% (0.0019999999999989 0) 20.21% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 60.04% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.11% (0.00099999999999767 0)36.89% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.93% (0.0020000000000024 0)59.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.76% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)12.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.06% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)37.94%
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.41% (0.0019999999999953 0)31.59% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)67.99% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 59.12%
    FC Utrecht 20.21%
    Draw 20.66%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.97%
3-2 @ 3.97%
4-1 @ 3.62%
4-0 @ 3.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.08%
5-1 @ 1.52%
5-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 59.12%
1-1 @ 9.36%
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.86%
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.66%
1-2 @ 5.39%
0-1 @ 4.45%
0-2 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 20.21%

How you voted: AZ vs Utrecht

AZ Alkmaar
85.4%
Draw
7.3%
FC Utrecht
7.3%
41
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 1.30pm
May 11, 2022 7pm
Utrecht
2-2
AZ
Van de Streek (37'), Douvikas (90+4')
van Overeem (57')
Pavlidis (12', 15')
de Wit (69')
Oct 17, 2021 11.15am
AZ
5-1
Utrecht
Pavlidis (6'), Karlsson (12'), De Wit (40', 56'), Gudmundsson (86' pen.)
Maduro (90')
Jan 27, 2021 5.45pm
Dec 27, 2020 1.30pm
Utrecht
2-2
AZ
Elia (30'), Dalmau (90+3')
Hoogma (16'), van Overeem (45+4'), Gustafson (63')
Koopmeiners (64' pen.), Stengs (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


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