Eredivisie | Gameweek 17

Jan 22, 2023 at 3.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
3 - 1
Sittard

de Wit (4'), Navarro (24' og.), Pavlidis (56')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Yilmaz (11' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Heerenveen 0-2 AZ
Saturday, January 14 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 2-2 PSV
Sunday, January 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 69.55%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 12.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
69.55% ( -0.06)	18% ( 0.22)	12.45% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 51.22% (

-1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.29% (

-1.47)

39.71% (

1.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.93% (

-1.55)

62.07% (

1.55)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.69% (

-0.41)

10.31% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.27% (

-0.94)

33.73% (

0.94)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.1% (

-1.21)

42.89% (

1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.8% (

-1.04)

79.2% (

1.04)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 69.54%

Fortuna Sittard 12.45%

Draw 18%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
2-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.12) Other @ 4.42% Total : 69.54%	1-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.99% Total : 18%	0-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.35% Total : 12.45%