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Dani de Wit
4'
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Ximo Navarro
24'
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Vangelis Pavlidis
56'
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Burak Yilmaz
11'
AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 69.55%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 12.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 10.04% ▲ (+0.50)
2-1 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.65% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.13)
4-0 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.17)
5-0 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.11)
4-2 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 69.54%
0-0 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.30)
2-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 18%
1-2 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 12.45%
