Eredivisie | Gameweek 18

Jan 25, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Adelaarshorst

Go Ahead Eagles
1 - 4
AZ

Thor Willumsson (90+2' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pavlidis (38'), Mihailovic (57'), Sugawara (87'), Buurmeester (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Go Ahead Eagles and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 Utrecht
Sunday, January 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 3-1 Sittard
Sunday, January 22 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
24.53% ( -0.19)	23.41% ( -0.61)	52.06% ( 0.8)

Both teams to score 56.43% (

1.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.61% (

2.49)

44.39% (

-2.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.24% (

2.37)

66.76% (

-2.36)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.05% (

1.19)

31.95% (

-1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.59% (

1.33)

68.41% (

-1.32)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.93% (

1.23)

17.07% (

-1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.76% (

2.14)

47.24% (

-2.13)

Score Analysis

Go Ahead Eagles 24.53%

AZ Alkmaar 52.06%

Draw 23.41%

Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.48) 2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 24.53%	1-1 @ 11% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.61) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.41%	1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.65) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 5.73% ( 0.26) 0-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 2.53% ( 0.21) 0-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.95% Total : 52.06%