Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Girona had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Girona |
| 48.79% ( | 25.83% ( | 25.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.33% ( | 53.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.84% ( | 75.16% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.98% ( | 22.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.66% ( | 55.34% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.75% ( | 36.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.96% ( | 73.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% ( 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 2-0 @ 9.14% ( 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 4-0 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 3.12% Total : 48.79% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 2-2 @ 4.71% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0-2 @ 4.11% ( 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.39% |