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La Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 18, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Girona logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 2
Girona

Isi (23'), Trejo (34')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tsygankov (29', 52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 0-1 Atletico
Monday, March 13 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Girona had a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawGirona
48.79% (0.112 0.11)25.83% (-0.07 -0.07)25.38% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.71% (0.177 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.33% (0.247 0.25)53.67% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (0.207 0.21)75.16% (-0.203 -0.2)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (0.154 0.15)22.02% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.66% (0.229 0.23)55.34% (-0.225 -0.23)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.75% (0.103 0.1)36.25% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.96% (0.102 0.1)73.04% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 48.79%
    Girona 25.39%
    Draw 25.82%
Rayo VallecanoDrawGirona
1-0 @ 12.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.14% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.68% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.61% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 48.79%
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 25.39%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Girona

Rayo Vallecano
65.5%
Draw
27.6%
Girona
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 4pm
Girona
2-2
Rayo Vallecano
Castellanos (34' pen.), Saiz (75' pen.)
Martinez (13')
Camello (2'), Isi (62')
Jan 15, 2022 5.30pm
Round of 16
Girona
1-2
Rayo Vallecano
Espinosa (26')
Juanpe (18'), Martinez (79'), Moreno (90+7')
Martinez (90+8')
Guardiola (45+1', 48')
Suarez (26'), Catena (26'), Valentin (69'), Isi (90+4'), Comesana (90+6'), Trejo (90+7')
Jun 20, 2021 8pm
Girona
0-2
Rayo Vallecano

Joel Barcenas (31'), Juanpe (85')
Garcia (7'), Trejo (45+1')
Velazquez (40'), Trejo (76'), Catena (90+6')
Velazquez (56')
Jun 13, 2021 8pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Girona
Isi (6')
Trejo (52'), Bebe (90+8')
Franquesa (41'), Sylla (46')
Saiz (45+3'), Cristoforo (60'), Carlos (69'), Martinez (77')
Apr 10, 2021 5.15pm
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Girona
Comesana (38'), Isi (75')
Comesana (16'), Trejo (24'), Saveljich (35'), Advincula (78')
Bueno (36')
Couto (48'), Stuani (54')