La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 4, 2023 at 1pm UK

Coliseum Alfonso Pérez

Getafe
3 - 2
Girona

Unal (2', 14' pen.), Mayoral (43')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Castellanos (54'), Gutierrez (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Getafe and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Getafe

All competitions

Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Getafe
Monday, February 27 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-3 Girona
Sunday, February 26 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Girona had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.

Result
Getafe	Draw	Girona
39.75% ( 0.42)	28.46% ( -0.16)	31.78% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 45.87% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.64% (

0.49)

60.36% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.49% (

0.37)

80.51% (

-0.38)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.36% (

0.49)

29.64% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.32% (

0.59)

65.68% (

-0.59)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.19% (

0.08)

34.8% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.46% (

0.08)

71.54% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Getafe 39.75%

Girona 31.78%

Draw 28.46%

Getafe	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 12.54% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.52% Total : 39.75%	1-1 @ 13.24% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.46%	0-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.19% Total : 31.78%