Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 61.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 16.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Getafe |
| 61.23% ( | 22.44% ( | 16.32% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.14% ( | 50.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.26% ( | 72.74% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.85% ( | 16.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.4% ( | 45.6% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.79% ( | 44.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.71% ( | 80.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Getafe |
| 1-0 @ 13.01% ( 2-0 @ 11.86% ( 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 3-0 @ 7.21% ( 3-1 @ 5.89% ( 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 4-1 @ 2.68% ( 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 5-1 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 61.22% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 2-2 @ 3.95% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.43% | 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 1-2 @ 4.34% ( 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 1-3 @ 1.18% ( 2-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 1.52% Total : 16.32% |