La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 18, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Atletico
3 - 0
Valencia

Griezmann (23'), Carrasco (49'), Lemar (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 0-1 Atletico
Monday, March 13 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Osasuna
Saturday, March 11 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 17.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Valencia
59.39% ( -1.28)	23.43% ( 0.52)	17.18% ( 0.76)

Both teams to score 45.62% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.67% (

-0.81)

53.33% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.12% (

-0.69)

74.88% (

0.69)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.33% (

-0.75)

17.67% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.7% (

-1.31)

48.3% (

1.31)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.42% (

0.49)

44.58% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.4% (

0.39)

80.6% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 59.38%

Valencia 17.18%

Draw 23.43%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 13.65% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.4% Total : 59.38%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.43%	0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.55% Total : 17.18%