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La Liga
Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Sevilla logo

Atletico
6 - 1
Sevilla

Depay (23', 26'), Griezmann (53'), Carrasco (69'), Morata (76', 90+2')
Gimenez (40')
FT(HT: 2-1)
En-Nesyri (39')
Gueye (25'), Acuna (55'), Montiel (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico
Saturday, February 25 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Sevilla

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 2-3 Osasuna
Sunday, February 26 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Sevilla

 Sevilla are clearly a lot better than they have shown for much of the season, but this is a very difficult match for Sampaoli's side. Atletico have not been in top form at Wanda Metropolitano in 2022-23, but the Red and Whites impressed at Bernabeu last weekend, and we are expecting them to secure all three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 17.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawSevilla
58.84% (0.669 0.67) 23.32% (-0.488 -0.49) 17.85% (-0.179 -0.18)
Both teams to score 47.15% (1.072 1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06% (1.609 1.61)51.95% (-1.605 -1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.31% (1.373 1.37)73.69% (-1.37 -1.37)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.63% (0.83199999999999 0.83)17.37% (-0.828 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.23% (1.432 1.43)47.78% (-1.428 -1.43)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.07% (0.732 0.73)42.94% (-0.73 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.76% (0.612 0.61)79.24% (-0.60899999999999 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 58.83%
    Sevilla 17.85%
    Draw 23.31%
Atletico MadridDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 13.05% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-0 @ 11.42% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.102 0.1)
3-0 @ 6.67% (0.116 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.64% (0.208 0.21)
4-0 @ 2.92% (0.126 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.155 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.134 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.085 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 58.83%
1-1 @ 11.03% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.488 -0.49)
2-2 @ 4.08% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 23.31%
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.279 -0.28)
1-2 @ 4.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.32% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 17.85%

How you voted: Atletico vs Sevilla

Atletico Madrid
74.7%
Draw
15.7%
Sevilla
9.6%
83
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 5.30pm
Sevilla
0-2
Atletico

Isco (11')
Llorente (29'), Morata (57')
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Atletico
1-1
Sevilla
Gimenez (30')
Hermoso (45'), Kondogbia (79'), Koke (89')
En-Nesyri (85')
Montiel (41'), Gudelj (72'), En-Nesyri (86'), Mir (88'), Lopetegui (88'), Acuna (90+5')
Dec 18, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
2-1
Atletico
Rakitic (7'), Ocampos (88')
Rekik (66'), Papu (68'), Montiel (69')
Felipe (33')
Cunha (90+6')
Apr 4, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
1-0
Atletico
Acuna (70')
Carlos (10'), Acuna (56')

Felipe (5'), Suarez (56'), Llorente (79'), Kondogbia (86')
Jan 12, 2021 8.30pm
Atletico
2-0
Sevilla
Correa (17'), Niguez (76')
Koke (48'), Savic (57')

Lopetegui (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid16113234132136
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Villarreal157532725226
6Real Sociedad167361611524
7Osasuna166642225-324
8Mallorca177371620-424
9GironaGirona166462223-122
10Celta Vigo166372527-221
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
13Sevilla165471723-619
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1541101528-1313
19Valencia142481322-910
20Real ValladolidValladolid1623111134-239
> La Liga Full Table


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