La Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 4, 2023 8.00pm
6
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
  • Memphis Depay 23' goal
  • Memphis Depay 26' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 53' goal
  • Yannick Carrasco 69' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 76' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 90'+2' goal
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 39'

Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2023 5.30pm
Real Madrid 1 - 1 Atletico
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Antoine Griezmann

Sevilla

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2023 8.00pm
Sevilla 2 - 3 Osasuna
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Youssef En-Nesyri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 17.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result

Atletico Madrid 58.84% (+0.67)
Draw 23.32% (-0.49)
Sevilla 17.85% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.15% (+1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.06% (+1.61)
Under 2.5 51.95% (-1.61)
Over 3.5 26.31% (+1.38)
Under 3.5 73.69% (-1.38)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 82.63% (+0.84)
Under 0.5 17.37% (-0.83)
Over 1.5 52.23% (+1.44)
Under 1.5 47.78% (-1.43)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5 57.07% (+0.74)
Under 0.5 42.94% (-0.73)
Over 1.5 20.76% (+0.62)
Under 1.5 79.24% (-0.61)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 58.83%
Draw 23.31%
Sevilla 17.85%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 13.05% (-0.48)
2-0 @ 11.42% (-0.11)
2-1 @ 9.66% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 6.67% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 5.64% (+0.21)
4-0 @ 2.92% (+0.13)
4-1 @ 2.47% (+0.16)
3-2 @ 2.38% (+0.14)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-94.76)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-94.08)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 58.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03% (-0.19)
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.49)
2-2 @ 4.08% (+0.13)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 23.31%
Sevilla
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.28)
1-2 @ 4.67% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.32% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.15% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 17.85%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2022 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
  • goal Marcos Llorente 29'
  • goal Alvaro Morata 57'
La Liga Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jose Gimenez 30' goal
  • Mario Hermoso 45' yellowcard
  • Geoffrey Kondogbia 79' yellowcard
  • Koke 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Montiel 41'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Gudelj 72'
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 85'
  • yellowcard Youssef En-Nesyri 86'
  • yellowcard Rafa Mir 88'
  • yellowcard Julen Lopetegui 88'
  • yellowcard Marcos Acuna 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Dec 18, 2021 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ivan Rakitic 7' goal
  • Karim Rekik 66' yellowcard
  • Papu 68' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Montiel 69' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ocampos 88' goal
  • goal Felipe 33'
  • yellowcard Matheus Cunha 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Apr 4, 2021 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Diego Carlos 10' yellowcard
  • Marcos Acuna 56' yellowcard
  • Marcos Acuna 70' goal
  • yellowcard Felipe 5'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 56'
  • yellowcard Marcos Llorente 79'
  • yellowcard Geoffrey Kondogbia 86'
La Liga Gameweek 1
Jan 12, 2021 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
  • Angel Correa 17' goal
  • Koke 48' yellowcard
  • Stefan Savic 57' yellowcard
  • Saul Niguez 76' goal
  • yellowcard Julen Lopetegui 82'
La Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 7, 2020 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Wanda Metropolitano
  • Alvaro Morata 32' goal
  • Joao Felix 36' goal
  • Joao Felix 73' yellowcard
  • Kieran Trippier 77' yellowcard
  • goal Luuk de Jong 19'
  • yellowcard Diego Carlos 31'
  • yellowcard Jules Kounde 31'
  • goal Lucas Ocampos 43'
  • yellowcard Jesus Navas 43'
  • yellowcard Ever Banega 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Gudelj 56'