La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Jan 24, 2021 at 8pm UK

Vicente Calderon Stadium

Atletico
3 - 1
Valencia

Felix (23'), Suarez (54'), Correa (72')
Vrsaljko (30'), Savic (76')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Racic (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 23.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Valencia
51.68%	24.75%	23.56%

Both teams to score 51.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.06%

50.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.19%

72.81%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.3%

19.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.3%

51.7%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.63%

36.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.84%

73.15%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 51.67%

Valencia 23.56%

Draw 24.75%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 9.46% 3-1 @ 5.18% 3-0 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.86% Total : 51.67%	1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 7.16% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.75%	0-1 @ 7.25% 1-2 @ 5.95% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.83% Total : 23.56%