Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Valencia |
51.68% | 24.75% | 23.56% |
Both teams to score 51.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.06% | 50.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.19% | 72.81% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.3% | 19.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.3% | 51.7% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.63% | 36.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.84% | 73.15% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 9.46% 3-1 @ 5.18% 3-0 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.86% Total : 51.67% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 7.16% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.25% 1-2 @ 5.95% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.83% Total : 23.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 36 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
8 | Mallorca | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 19 |
13 | Sevilla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |