La Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 12, 2023 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
  • Lucas Ocampos 45'+2' goal
  • Erik Lamela 73' goal
  • goal Sergio Akieme 2'

Sevilla vs Almeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 8.00pm
Atletico 6 - 1 Sevilla
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Youssef En-Nesyri

Almeria

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 3.15pm
Almeria 0 - 2 Villarreal
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
El Bilal Toure

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result

Sevilla 65.29% (-1.45)
Draw 20.71% (+0.78)
Almeria 14% (+0.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.63% (-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.85% (-1.81)
Under 2.5 48.15% (+1.81)
Over 3.5 29.69% (-1.68)
Under 3.5 70.31% (+1.68)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5 86.04% (-0.99)
Under 0.5 13.96% (+0.99)
Over 1.5 58.56% (-1.99)
Under 1.5 41.45% (+1.99)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5 54.19% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 45.81% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 18.43% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 81.57% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Sevilla 65.28%
Draw 20.71%
Almeria 14%
Sevilla
1-0 @ 12.59% (+0.49)
2-0 @ 12.39% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.14% (-0.29)
3-1 @ 6.35% (-0.24)
4-0 @ 4.01% (-0.30)
4-1 @ 3.13% (-0.24)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.11)
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.18)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.15)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 65.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.83% (+0.36)
0-0 @ 6.4% (+0.47)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 20.71%
Almeria
0-1 @ 4.99% (+0.36)
1-2 @ 3.84% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 1.95% (+0.14)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 14%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
  • Inigo Eguaras 33' yellowcard
  • Largie Ramazani 42' goal
  • Umar Sadiq 55' goal
  • Kaiky Fernandes 71' yellowcard
  • Cesar de la Hoz 78' yellowcard
  • Leo Baptistao 84' yellowcard
  • Samu 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erik Lamela 12'
  • yellowcard Karim Rekik 15'
  • goal Oliver Torres 30'
  • yellowcard Rafa Mir 45'
  • yellowcard Jesus Navas 47'
  • yellowcard Jose Angel Carmona 70'
  • yellowcard Isco 78'
  • yellowcard Thomas Delaney 80'
  • yellowcard Alex Telles 83'
Copa del Rey
Feb 2, 2021 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
  • Jose Corpas 69' yellowcard
  • Chumi 81' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Ocampos 67'
  • yellowcard Julen Lopetegui 90'
La Liga
May 17, 2015 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Vicente Iborra 65' goal
  • Vicente Iborra 71' goal
  • goal Thievy Bifouma 30'
  • yellowcard Corona 60'
  • yellowcard Ruben 68'
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 73'
  • redcard Angel Trujillo 75'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Dubarbier 83'
La Liga
Jan 11, 2015 11.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Thomas Partey 20' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aleix Vidal 16'
  • goal Vicente Iborra 58'
  • goal Coke 63'
La Liga
Mar 9, 2014 4.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sebastian Dubarbier 38' yellowcard
  • Rodri Rios 44' yellowcard
  • Aleix Vidal 85' goal
  • yellowcard Fernando Navarro 16'
  • goal Carlos Bacca 31'
  • yellowcard Jose Antonio Reyes 45'
  • goal Daniel Carrico 52'
  • yellowcard Diogo Figueiras 65'
  • goal Kevin Gameiro 77'
  • yellowcard Beto 86'
La Liga
Oct 6, 2013 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kevin Gameiro 6' goal
  • Vicente Iborra 31' yellowcard
  • Alberto Moreno 71' yellowcard
  • Ivan Rakitic 90' goal
  • Sebastian Cristoforo 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Verza 13'
  • yellowcard Rodri 20'
  • goal Rodri 23'
  • yellowcard Cristian Fernandez 52'
  • yellowcard Fernando Soriano 90'