La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 12, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla
2 - 1
Almeria

Ocampos (45+2' pen.), Lamela (73')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Akieme (2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 2-0 Fenerbahce
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Almeria 0-2 Villarreal
Saturday, March 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Almeria
65.29% ( -1.45)	20.71% ( 0.77)	14% ( 0.67)

Both teams to score 46.63% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.85% (

-1.8)

48.15% (

1.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.69% (

-1.68)

70.31% (

1.67)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.04% (

-0.99)

13.96% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.56% (

-1.98)

41.45% (

1.98)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.19% (

-0.08)

45.81% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.43% (

-0.07)

81.57% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 65.28%

Almeria 14%

Draw 20.71%

Sevilla	Draw	Almeria
1-0 @ 12.59% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.5% Total : 65.28%	1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.71%	0-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.24% Total : 14%