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La Liga
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La Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 12, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Almeria

Sevilla
2 - 1
Almeria

Ocampos (45+2' pen.), Lamela (73')
Bade (32'), Ocampos (45+3'), Gudelj (71'), Lamela (74'), Dmitrovic (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Akieme (2')
Akieme (12'), Chumi (72'), Ely (83'), Baptistao (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 2-0 Fenerbahce
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Almeria 0-2 Villarreal
Saturday, March 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 1-0 Almeria

 This is a huge match at the bottom of the table, and it will be fascinating to see what occurs on Sunday. Almeria will be the fresher of the two teams, but they have been so disappointing on their travels this season, and we are backing Sevilla to have enough quality to secure a huge three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAlmeria
65.29% (-1.449 -1.45) 20.71% (0.773 0.77) 14% (0.675 0.67)
Both teams to score 46.63% (-0.608 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.85% (-1.802 -1.8)48.15% (1.801 1.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.69% (-1.675 -1.68)70.31% (1.673 1.67)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.04% (-0.989 -0.99)13.96% (0.989 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.56% (-1.983 -1.98)41.45% (1.983 1.98)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.19% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)45.81% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.43% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)81.57% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 65.28%
    Almeria 14%
    Draw 20.71%
SevillaDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 12.59% (0.48 0.48)
2-0 @ 12.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 8.14% (-0.287 -0.29)
3-1 @ 6.35% (-0.239 -0.24)
4-0 @ 4.01% (-0.296 -0.3)
4-1 @ 3.13% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.1 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.18 -0.18)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 65.28%
1-1 @ 9.83% (0.351 0.35)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.464 0.46)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 20.71%
0-1 @ 4.99% (0.351 0.35)
1-2 @ 3.84% (0.128 0.13)
0-2 @ 1.95% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 1% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 14%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Almeria

Sevilla
80.7%
Draw
12.3%
Almeria
7.0%
57
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 9pm
Almeria
2-1
Sevilla
Ramazani (42'), Sadiq (55')
Eguaras (33'), Fernandes (71'), de la Hoz (78'), Baptistao (84'), Samu (90+1')
Torres (30')
Lamela (12'), Rekik (15'), Mir (45'), Navas (47'), Angel Carmona (70'), Isco (78'), Delaney (80'), Telles (83')
Feb 2, 2021 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Almeria
0-1
Sevilla

Corpas (69'), Chumi (81')
Ocampos (67')
Lopetegui (90')
May 17, 2015 6pm
Sevilla
2-1
Almeria
Iborra (65', 71')
Bifouma (30')
Corona (60'), Ruben (68'), Partey (73'), Dubarbier (83')
Trujillo (75')
> Match Report
Jan 11, 2015 11am
Almeria
0-2
Sevilla

Partey (20')
Iborra (58'), Coke (63')
Vidal (16')
> Match Report
Mar 9, 2014 4pm
Almeria
1-3
Sevilla
Vidal (85')
Dubarbier (38'), Rios (44')
Bacca (31'), Carrico (52'), Gameiro (77')
Navarro (16'), Antonio Reyes (45'), Figueiras (65'), Beto (86')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
2Real Madrid19134243192443
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal198653431330
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad198471713428
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Sevilla207582329-626
10Rayo Vallecano196762222025
11Real BetisBetis206772226-425
12Osasuna196762328-525
13Celta Vigo197392830-224
14Las PalmasLas Palmas196492429-522
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515
20Valencia1927101829-1113
> La Liga Full Table


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