La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 11, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos

Almeria
2 - 3
Betis

Suarez Charris (27'), Samu (62')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Rodri (6'), Canales (42'), Guardado (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-0 Almeria
Monday, February 6 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Betis

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Betis 3-4 Celta Vigo
Saturday, February 4 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Real Betis
28.02% ( 0.01)	26.72% ( -0.02)	45.26% ( 0)

Both teams to score 49.12% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.58% (

0.07)

55.42% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.38% (

0.05)

76.62% (

-0.06)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.98% (

0.04)

35.02% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.23% (

0.04)

71.77% (

-0.05)

Real Betis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.59% (

0.03)

24.4% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.17% (

0.05)

58.82% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Almeria 28.02%

Real Betis 45.26%

Draw 26.71%

Almeria	Draw	Real Betis
1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 28.02%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.26%