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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 18, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos MediterrĂ¡neos
Cadiz logo

Almeria
1 - 1
Cadiz

Melero (90+7' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Marti (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, March 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 2-2 Getafe
Friday, March 10 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 27.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawCadiz
45.64% (-1.632 -1.63)27.31% (0.529 0.53)27.05% (1.101 1.1)
Both teams to score 46.8% (-0.654 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.91% (-1.251 -1.25)58.09% (1.25 1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24% (-0.992 -0.99)78.76% (0.992 0.99)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59% (-1.345 -1.35)25.41% (1.345 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78% (-1.879 -1.88)60.22% (1.878 1.88)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.74% (0.25 0.25)37.26% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.96% (0.246 0.25)74.04% (-0.247 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 45.64%
    Cadiz 27.05%
    Draw 27.31%
AlmeriaDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 12.97% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 8.89% (-0.272 -0.27)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-0 @ 4.06% (-0.291 -0.29)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.257 -0.26)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 9.47% (0.441 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.496 0.5)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.274 0.27)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.1 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 27.05%

How you voted: Almeria vs Cadiz

Almeria
29.4%
Draw
44.1%
Cadiz
26.5%
34
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 6.15pm
Feb 29, 2020 5.15pm
Cadiz
2-1
Almeria
Maras (16' og.), Alex (60')
Fali (37'), Perea (76')
Corpas (10')
Jonathan (77'), Costas (84')
Sep 29, 2019 3pm
Almeria
1-2
Cadiz
Corpas (77' pen.)
Maras (36'), Martos (94')
Lozano (69'), Espino (90')
Mari (26'), Lozano (71'), Alberto (94')
Mauro (76')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Almeria
0-0
Cadiz

Brice Eteki (17'), Carlos (21'), Martos (31'), Saveljich (90')

Ramos (35'), Lekic (42'), Mari (60')
Mari (75')
Aug 17, 2018 7pm
Cadiz
1-0
Almeria
Alex (76')
Matos (30'), Agra (56'), Mari (71'), Aketxe (88')

Gassama (2'), Owona (28'), Rioja (50'), Chema (52')