La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 8, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid
2 - 3
Villarreal

Torres (16' og.), Junior (48')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Chukwueze (39', 80'), Luis Morales (70')

Reaction

Federico Valverde celebrates scoring for Real Madrid on August 20, 2022

Real Madrid's Federico Valverde facing 12-game ban for Alex Baena incident?

Real Madrid midfielder Federico Valverde is reportedly at risk of a 12-game ban for allegedly punching Villarreal's Alex Baena after their La Liga clash on April 8.

Apr 18, 15:14

Real Madrid's Federico Valverde in action with Liverpool's Trent Alexander-Arnold on March 15, 2023

Real Madrid's Federico Valverde 'punched Villarreal player in car park'

Real Madrid's Federico Valverde punched Villarreal's Alex Baena after Saturday's La Liga contest between the two sides, according to a report.

Apr 9, 14:55

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 0-4 Real Madrid
Wednesday, April 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 2-0 Real Sociedad
Sunday, April 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Villarreal
59.19% ( -0.12)	21.34% ( 0.05)	19.46% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 56.32% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.81% (

-0.12)

41.18% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.42% (

-0.12)

63.58% (

0.12)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.41% (

-0.07)

13.58% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.3% (

-0.15)

40.7% (

0.15)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.17% (

-0)

34.83% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.43% (

-0)

71.56% (

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 59.19%

Villarreal 19.46%

Draw 21.34%

Real Madrid	Draw	Villarreal
2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.43% 3-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 59.19%	1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.24% 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.34%	1-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 19.46%