Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League

Anderlecht
Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Lotto Park
Villarreal logo

Anderlecht
1 - 1
Villarreal

Dreyer (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Trigueros (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Anderlecht and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Anderlecht

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Gent 1-0 Anderlecht
Sunday, March 5 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Villarreal

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Almeria 0-2 Villarreal
Saturday, March 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
AnderlechtDrawVillarreal
38.41% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)24.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)36.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92%45.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.57% (0.0010000000000048 0)67.42% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)23.26% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)57.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (0.0049999999999955 0)24.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)58.47% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Anderlecht 38.41%
    Villarreal 36.71%
    Draw 24.87%
AnderlechtDrawVillarreal
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 5.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.07%
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 38.41%
1-1 @ 11.64%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.87%
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 7.98% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.69% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.01%
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 36.71%

How you voted: Anderlecht vs Villarreal

Anderlecht
25.4%
Draw
13.4%
Villarreal
61.2%
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