La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 27

Apr 2, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid
6 - 0
Valladolid

Rodrygo (22'), Benzema (29', 32', 36'), Asensio (73'), Vazquez (90+1')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Reaction

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Apr 3, 09:11

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Real Madrid
Sunday, March 19 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 1-3 Athletic Bilbao
Friday, March 17 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 78.12%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 8.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.33%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Real Valladolid
78.12% ( 0.09)	13.66% ( -0.01)	8.22% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 51.33% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.65% (

-0.3)

31.35% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.2% (

-0.36)

52.8% (

0.36)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.57% (

-0.05)

6.43% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.93% (

-0.13)

24.07% (

0.13)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.86% (

-0.43)

45.14% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.96% (

-0.34)

81.04% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 78.11%

Real Valladolid 8.22%

Draw 13.66%

Real Madrid	Draw	Real Valladolid
2-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 10% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 3% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.9% Total : 78.11%	1-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.96% Total : 13.66%	1-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.56% Total : 8.22%