La Liga Gameweek 27
Apr 2, 2023 3.15pm
6
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Rodrygo 22' goal
  • Karim Benzema 29' goal
  • Karim Benzema 32' goal
  • Karim Benzema 36' goal
  • Marco Asensio 73' goal
  • Lucas Vazquez 90'+1' goal

Real Madrid vs Real Valladolid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Mar 19, 2023 8.00pm
Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Karim Benzema

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Last game
Mar 17, 2023 8.00pm
Valladolid 1 - 3 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Cyle Larin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 78.12%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 8.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.33%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Madrid 78.12% (+0.10)
Draw 13.66% (-0.01)
Real Valladolid 8.22% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.33% (-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.65% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 31.35% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 47.2% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 52.8% (+0.37)
Over 4.5 28.21% (-0.32)
Under 4.5 71.78% (+0.33)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 93.57% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 6.43% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 75.93% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 24.07% (+0.14)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5 54.86% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 45.14% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 18.96% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 81.04% (+0.35)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 78.11%
Draw 13.66%
Real Valladolid 8.22%
Real Madrid
2-0 @ 10.92% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 10% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.96% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 7.95% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 6.86% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 5.46% (-0.04)
5-0 @ 3.77% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.05)
5-1 @ 3% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.04)
6-0 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.37% (-0.02)
5-2 @ 1.19% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 78.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.33% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 2.9% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 13.66%
Real Valladolid
1-2 @ 2.52% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 2.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 8.22%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 15
Dec 30, 2022 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
  • goal Karim Benzema 83'
  • goal Karim Benzema 89'
La Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 20, 2021 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ruben Alcaraz 60' yellowcard
  • Nacho 71' yellowcard
  • Fabian Orellana 76' yellowcard
  • Oscar Plano 85' yellowcard
  • goal Casemiro 65'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vazquez 69'
  • yellowcard Sergio Arribas 78'
La Liga Gameweek 4
Sep 30, 2020 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Vinicius Junior 65' goal
  • Casemiro 78' yellowcard
  • Marcelo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno 71'
La Liga Gameweek 21
Jan 26, 2020 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT José Zorrilla
  • Borja Fernandez 10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raphael Varane 36'
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 57'
  • yellowcard Nacho 76'
  • goal Nacho 78'
La Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 24, 2019 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
  • Toni Kroos 73' yellowcard
  • Karim Benzema 82' goal
  • Casemiro 92' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fede 33'
  • goal Sergi Guardiola 88'
  • yellowcard Waldo Marin 95'
La Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 10, 2019 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla (Valladolid)
  • Anuar 29' goal
  • Nacho 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alvaro Odriozola 12'
  • goal Raphael Varane 34'
  • yellowcard Sergio Reguilon 45'
  • goal Karim Benzema 51'
  • goal Karim Benzema 59'
  • yellowcard Thibaut Courtois 64'
  • yellowcard Casemiro 69'
  • redcard Casemiro 80'
  • goal Luka Modric 85'
  • yellowcard Marcelo 90'

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