La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 17, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Valladolid
1 - 3
Athletic Bilbao

Larin (74')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Martinez (30'), Guruzeta (57'), Vesga (78' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Elche 1-1 Valladolid
Saturday, March 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Barcelona
Sunday, March 12 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
32.69% ( 0.25)	28.68% ( 0.15)	38.63% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 45.49% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.06% (

-0.48)

60.94% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.05% (

-0.36)

80.95% (

0.36)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.53% (

-0.08)

34.47% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.82% (

-0.08)

71.18% (

0.08)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.41% (

-0.48)

30.59% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.18% (

-0.57)

66.82% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 32.68%

Athletic Bilbao 38.63%

Draw 28.67%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 32.68%	1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.67%	0-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.26% Total : 38.63%