La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 22, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Almeria1 - 2Athletic Bilbao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, April 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, April 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, April 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, April 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga
We said: Almeria 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Almeria have picked up as many home points this season as Villarreal, with their hopes of staying in the league likely to depend on their form at home. Athletic are on a roll at the moment, winning three of their last four, but we have a feeling that the points will be shared during a tight contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
20.93% ( -0) | 25.17% ( 0.02) | 53.9% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.67% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
