Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 17.12% ( | 21.62% | 61.26% |
| Both teams to score 50.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.82% ( | 46.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.53% ( | 68.47% |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.59% ( | 40.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.98% ( | 77.02% |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.43% ( | 14.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.36% | 42.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 5.34% 2-1 @ 4.66% 2-0 @ 2.42% 3-1 @ 1.41% ( 3-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.95% Total : 17.12% | 1-1 @ 10.27% 0-0 @ 5.89% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.61% | 0-1 @ 11.34% 0-2 @ 10.92% 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-3 @ 7.01% 1-3 @ 6.35% 0-4 @ 3.38% 1-4 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.88% 2-4 @ 1.39% 0-5 @ 1.3% 1-5 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.55% Total : 61.26% |