Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 29.69% ( | 26.34% ( | 43.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.82% ( | 53.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.25% ( | 74.75% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.43% ( | 32.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.89% ( | 69.11% ( |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.96% ( | 24.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.69% ( | 58.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 2-1 @ 7.02% 2-0 @ 4.93% ( 3-1 @ 2.63% ( 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 3-0 @ 1.84% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.69% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 2-2 @ 5.01% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 11.16% ( 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0-2 @ 7.95% ( 1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0-3 @ 3.78% ( 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0-4 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 43.97% |