Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 59.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 15.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.3%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.