Europa League
Mar 9, 2023 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 13' goal
  • Marash Kumbulla 87' goal

Roma vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 45.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result

Roma 45.52% (-0.08)
Draw 28.1% (+0.01)
Real Sociedad 26.38% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.24% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.89% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 61.11% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 18.92% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 81.08% (-0.02)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 73.14% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 26.85% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 37.84% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 62.16% (+0.04)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 60.49% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 39.51% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 23.8% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 76.2% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Roma 45.52%
Draw 28.09%
Real Sociedad 26.38%
Roma
1-0 @ 13.95% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 9.17% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.02% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.73% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 45.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.95% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.61%
2-2 @ 3.95% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.09%
Real Sociedad
0-1 @ 9.85% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.01% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.57% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.86% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 26.38%