Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.