Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 26.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Osasuna |
| 46.84% ( | 26.84% ( | 26.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.17% ( | 56.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.24% ( | 77.76% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% ( | 24.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.37% ( | 58.63% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.81% ( | 37.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.02% ( | 73.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 12.78% ( 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 4-1 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 46.84% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 9.03% ( 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0-2 @ 4.41% ( 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 1.75% Total : 26.31% |