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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Osauna logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Osasuna

Hernandez (40' og.), Isi (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gomez (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 26.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawOsasuna
46.84% (0.043000000000006 0.04)26.84% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)26.31% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.17% (0.018000000000001 0.02)56.84% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.24% (0.015999999999998 0.02)77.76% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.74% (0.028999999999996 0.03)24.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.37% (0.042000000000002 0.04)58.63% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.81% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)37.19% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.02% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)73.98% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 46.84%
    Osasuna 26.31%
    Draw 26.84%
Rayo VallecanoDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 12.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.27% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 46.84%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 9.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 26.31%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna

Rayo Vallecano
40.8%
Draw
33.8%
Osasuna
25.4%
71
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 1pm
Feb 12, 2022 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-3
Osasuna

Garcia (24'), Saveljich (34')
Moncayola (8'), Garcia (40'), Kike (90+3')
Vidal (70')
Oct 2, 2021 1pm
Osasuna
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
Sanchez (90+1')
Torro (45'), Martinez (76'), Avila (90+5')

Balliu (5'), Trejo (32'), Falcao (41')
Feb 2, 2018 8pm
Sep 10, 2017 7.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-3
Osasuna

Chechu (37')
Hernandez (27'), Xisco (87', 94')
Torro (26'), Torres (41'), Arzura (74'), Castellano (81'), Merida (91')